Five practices, five objections, one dataset
An FFS objection-handling library, not a portfolio pitch
Each of the five sections below answers a specific objection an FFS dentist raises when we recommend PlanForward. The evidence is a matched member-level cohort at a real SGA practice, using the same member's before-and-after production, procedures, visits, and treatment acceptance.
Use this to prep for the doctor conversation. Lead with the practice that answers the objection the doctor keeps raising. Bring the numbers below and keep the caveats where we've written them.
From portfolio synthesis to per-practice matched cohort
v1 leaned on portfolio-weighted averages across 14 anonymized practices, with two structural caveats we couldn't close ("Practice 8" and "Practice 10"). v2 uses PlanForward's matched member cohort — same 43–207 people, measured against their own JoinDate — so the "different-people" caveat is resolved and both anonymous outliers are now named.
The v1 draft still stands as a portfolio landing page; recommendation is to keep both and link them.
The five case studies
| # | Practice | State | Launch | Cohort n | Objection answered |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Claxton Family Dentistry | GA | 2024-12-30 | 87 | "Does production actually increase?" |
| 2 | Statesboro Family Dentistry | GA | 2024-12-30 | 138 | "Will they accept treatment?" |
| 3 | Waynesboro Family Dentistry | GA | 2024-12-30 | 65 | "They only enroll existing patients." |
| 4 | Dale D. Batten, DMD Primary Alt: Towne Lake Dental (n=94) | FL / GA | 2025-07-23 / 2024-12-30 | 43 / 94 | "Membership is just cheap cleanings." |
| 5 | Southern Oak Dental Bluffton Counter-example | SC | 2024-12-30 | 207 | "You'll only show me the winners." |
Claxton Family Dentistry · Claxton, GA
The cleanest before/after production lift in the file — 87 members, each measured against their own baseline. Highest total-chair-per-fees multiple among the five.
The same 87 patients produced 4.4× more revenue per year after they enrolled — $381/year before → $1,670/year after (+339%).
Matched cohort — same 87 members, before vs. after
| Metric (per member per year) | Before enrollment | After enrollment | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Completed visits | 0.85 | 3.20 | +2.35 (+275%) |
| Completed procedures | 2.94 | 10.89 | +7.95 (+270%) |
| Net production | $381 | $1,670 | +$1,289 (+339%) |
Membership fees are the floor, not the ceiling
| Line | Amount |
|---|---|
| Membership plan fees collected | $81,050 |
| In-plan production | $87,820 |
| Out-of-plan production | $275,500 |
| Total chairside revenue on member visits | $363,320 |
| × the fees alone | 4.5× |
For every dollar in membership fees, $4.50 came through the chair. Out-of-plan production ran 3.1× in-plan — members do not "just get their cleanings." They accept and complete work outside the plan at a rate that dwarfs the discounted services.
Treatment acceptance — three cohorts side by side
| Cohort | Plans presented | Accepted | Acceptance rate | Same-day completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uninsured | 189 | 64 | 33.9% | 16.9% |
| Insured | 655 | 367 | 56.0% | 22.7% |
| Member | 149 | 91 | 61.1% | 28.9% |
- The three-cohort acceptance table.
- The four-line fees-to-chair stack.
- The 12-month before/after cohort table.
- Methodology footnote: "87 matched members, each measured against their own 12-month pre-enrollment baseline."
Broken/cancel rate. Claxton runs high across every cohort (member 20.9%, insured 23.7%, uninsured 39.0%). Members beat uninsured meaningfully, but the practice-wide baseline is not one to advertise. Use uninsured's 39% only as a supporting data point about "the value of a paid-up relationship."
Statesboro Family Dentistry · Statesboro, GA
Largest matched cohort in the file (138 members), highest member treatment-acceptance rate in the file, highest same-day-completed rate in the file, and 60 same-day enrollments — the volume story.
Members accept treatment plans at 70.6%, vs. 49.6% uninsured and 63.1% insured — the highest member acceptance rate in the entire dataset.
Treatment acceptance by cohort
| Cohort | $ plans presented | Accepted | Acceptance rate | Same-day completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uninsured | 577 | 286 | 49.6% | 27.7% |
| Insured | 1,772 | 1,119 | 63.1% | 31.6% |
| Member | 252 | 178 | 70.6% | 39.3% |
Members not only accept at the highest rate — they also complete same-day at the highest rate in the file. Every fifth member visit becomes work-on-the-books that same day.
Same-day enrollment linkage
| Timing | Members | Share of linked |
|---|---|---|
| Already a member before treatment accepted | 91 | 55% |
| Enrolled same day treatment accepted | 60 | 36% |
| Joined after treatment accepted | 16 | 10% |
60 patients said "yes" to treatment and "yes" to the plan on the same visit. This answers the sub-objection "our patients need weeks to decide."
Matched cohort — same 138 members, before vs. after
| Metric (per member per year) | Before | After | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Completed visits | 1.21 | 3.75 | +2.54 (+210%) |
| Completed procedures | 3.33 | 9.87 | +6.54 (+196%) |
| Net production | $495 | $1,301 | +$806 (+163%) |
Waynesboro Family Dentistry · Waynesboro, GA
At Waynesboro, the plan is the mechanism by which patients say yes — the majority of linked enrollments happen the same day treatment is accepted.
51% of members whose enrollment can be tied to a treatment acceptance enrolled on the same day they accepted treatment — the majority. Existing members are a minority of the linked-enrollment cohort at Waynesboro.
Same-day enrollment linkage
| Timing | Members | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Already a member before treatment accepted | 35 | 43% |
| Enrolled same day treatment accepted | 41 | 51% |
| Joined after treatment accepted | 5 | 6% |
This is the practice where the ratio flips. The plan is being used as the mechanism by which the patient converts from case-presented to treatment-scheduled — not just retained afterward.
Cohort behavior — same 65 members
| Metric (per member per year) | Before | After | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Visits | 1.08 | 3.14 | +2.06 (+191%) |
| Procedures | 2.28 | 8.82 | +6.54 (+287%) |
| Net production | $290 | $1,037 | +$747 (+257%) |
Appointment reliability lift
| Cohort | Broken/cancelled % |
|---|---|
| Uninsured | 28.8% |
| Insured | 18.1% |
| Member | 14.8% |
Members break appointments at roughly half the uninsured rate. This is the practice where the plan most clearly changes the patient's behavior rather than just recruiting patients who already behave well.
Dale D. Batten, DMD · FL Primary Alt: Towne Lake Dental, GA
Highest post-enrollment $/member in the file, and out-of-plan production runs 2.4× in-plan. The plan doesn't cap revenue; it opens the ledger.
Every member generates $2,131 in net production per year after joining — the highest in the file — and out-of-plan production runs 2.4× in-plan. For every $1 of discounted, in-plan work, members produced $2.44 of full-fee, out-of-plan work.
Batten — matched cohort (n = 43)
| Metric (per member per year) | Before | After | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Visits | 0.05 | 2.70 | +2.65 |
| Procedures | 5.09 | 11.02 | +5.93 |
| Net production | $693 | $2,131 | +$1,438 (+207%) |
Batten — where the revenue comes from
| Line | Amount |
|---|---|
| Plan fees collected | $67,700 |
| In-plan production | $64,920 |
| Out-of-plan production | $158,500 |
| Total chair on member visits | $223,420 |
| Out-of-plan / in-plan ratio | 2.4× |
Batten — treatment acceptance
| Cohort | Presented | Accepted | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Uninsured | 112 | 37 | 33.0% |
| Insured | 388 | 221 | 57.0% |
| Member | 35 | 19 | 54.3% |
Members accept at insured rates — a 21-point premium over uninsured on comparable presented-plan exposure.
The Towne Lake alternative — if reviewers push back on Batten
Same objection, different tradeoffs. Use this if a doctor challenges Batten's n = 43 or the "essentially all new patients" caveat.
| Line | Batten | Towne Lake |
|---|---|---|
| Matched cohort n | 43 | 94 |
| $ / member · before → after | $693 → $2,131 (+207%) | $255 → $1,044 (+309%) |
| Visits / member · before | 0.05 (essentially new) | 1.34 (real history) |
| Out-of-plan / in-plan ratio | 2.4× | 1.5× |
| Broken/cancel · member | 1.8% | 7.3% |
| Broken/cancel · uninsured | 2.3% | 22.4% |
| Launch | 2025-07-23 | 2024-12-30 |
- Highest post-enrollment $/member in the file
- Strongest out-of-plan ratio (answers the objection almost verbatim)
- Larger sample
- Genuine before/after signal (members had real pre-enrollment history)
- Big appointment-reliability lift member vs uninsured
Recommendation: lead with Batten. Keep Towne Lake in the back pocket for reviewers who challenge the n or the "no pre-history" caveat.
Southern Oak Dental Bluffton · Bluffton, SC
460 enrolled members — the biggest book in SGA East — but the smallest cohort lift, near-zero same-day enrollment, and the smallest member-over-uninsured acceptance gap in the file.
Bluffton has the biggest book in SGA East (460 members) but only 1.7% of linked enrollments happen the same day as treatment acceptance, member acceptance is only 25.4% (vs. 22.7% uninsured — a 2.7-point gap compared to Statesboro's 21-point gap), and the matched cohort's production lift is +74% — the smallest lift among the five.
Why we include this
An FFS dentist evaluating a membership plan has watched every vendor case study cherry-pick the wins. Leading with a practice where the plan under-performed does two things:
- It buys credibility for cases 1–4. If we would tell them Bluffton, we would tell them if any of the others had gone sideways too.
- It sharpens the "when to launch a plan" conversation into an operational one, not a philosophical one.
What went wrong at Bluffton
Same-day enrollment linkage
| Timing | Members |
|---|---|
| Already a member before TX accepted | 109 |
| Enrolled same day as TX accepted | 2 |
| Joined after TX accepted | 3 |
| Same-day linkage | 1.7% — lowest in the file |
Cohort behavior — 207 matched members
| Metric (per member per year) | Before | After | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Visits | 1.78 | 3.53 | +1.75 (+98%) |
| Procedures | 4.63 | 9.26 | +4.63 (+100%) |
| Net production | $645 | $1,123 | +$478 (+74%) |
The cohort does show a real lift — Bluffton members are visiting twice as often after joining. But the revenue-per-member ceiling stops at $1,123, roughly half of Batten's $2,131.
Fees-to-chair math — the "floor" is barely a floor
| Line | Amount |
|---|---|
| Plan fees collected | $215,700 |
| In-plan production | $237,400 |
| Out-of-plan production | $242,100 |
| Out-of-plan / in-plan ratio | 1.02× |
At Bluffton, out-of-plan and in-plan are almost even. Members are getting plan services and not much else. Every other practice on this list has an out-of-plan ratio above 1.5×.
Treatment acceptance
| Cohort | Rate | Same-day completed |
|---|---|---|
| Uninsured | 22.7% | 8.7% |
| Insured | 29.6% | 6.9% |
| Member | 25.4% | 8.1% |
Member premium over uninsured is only 2.7 points. At Statesboro it is 21 points. Whatever is happening at Bluffton is not "membership changes acceptance."
The likely mechanism
Bluffton is capacity-constrained. Hygiene is booked out 112 days (average days-to-future-hygiene-appointment for existing patients, per PlanForward's dashboard) — roughly 4× the file median. When the hygiene chair is booked into the following spring, a same-day enrollment can't get seated, an accepted plan can't be started, and the mechanism that drives lift at Waynesboro or Claxton has nowhere to happen. Bluffton also dropped Humana and Aetna in the measurement window, which likely contributed to the higher pre-enrollment visit baseline (patients who couldn't get in as often before).
Portfolio patterns across the five
For readers who page through all five, the pattern that repeats.
| Metric | Claxton | Statesboro | Waynesboro | Batten | Bluffton |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cohort n | 87 | 138 | 65 | 43 | 207 |
| $ / member · before | $381 | $495 | $290 | $693 | $645 |
| $ / member · after | $1,670 | $1,301 | $1,037 | $2,131 | $1,123 |
| Lift % | +339% | +163% | +257% | +207% | +74% |
| Visits · before | 0.85 | 1.21 | 1.08 | 0.05 | 1.78 |
| Visits · after | 3.20 | 3.75 | 3.14 | 2.70 | 3.53 |
| Member acceptance | 61.1% | 70.6% | 58.2% | 54.3% | 25.4% |
| Uninsured acceptance | 33.9% | 49.6% | 39.3% | 33.0% | 22.7% |
| Same-day enrollment share | 34% | 36% | 51% | 25% | 2% |
| Out-of-plan / in-plan | 3.1× | 2.2× | 1.9× | 2.4× | 1.0× |
| Total chair / plan fees | 4.5× | 3.6× | 3.1× | 3.3× | 2.2× |
| Member broken/cancel | 20.9% | 16.7% | 14.8% | 1.8% | 8.8% |
| Uninsured broken/cancel | 39.0% | 31.0% | 28.8% | 2.3% | 17.4% |
Methodology & open items
From PlanForward's 2026-09-25 response to Amy's 8/24 request, verified against the workbook.
Members with JoinDate 12–18 months ago, matched to PMS patients at the same location by ChartNumber = PMSID, exact first/last/DOB. Before-window = 12 months prior to each member's own JoinDate. After-window = 12 months after the same JoinDate. No portfolio-level averaging across members.
"PlanForward maps each PMS-specific appointment status (Scheduled, Complete, UnschedList, ASAP, Broken, Planned, etc.) to one of four standardized statuses — Scheduled, Broken, Completed, or Cancelled — to normalize data across systems." Broken/cancelled combined per PMS status codes 2 and 4. % = (broken + cancelled) / total appointments in trailing 12 months.
Treatment plans with at least one linked appointment that was subsequently scheduled or completed.
First completed treatment date equals the plan creation date — a proxy for chairside acceptance.
Available as a live download from each practice's PlanForward dashboard (cloud icon on each location card). Two example screenshots from Jane's response are staged at data/plan-forward/2026-09-25-pf-response/pf-dashboard-inplan-outofplan-*.png.
Confirmed by PlanForward as unchanged since each practice's launch date. Pre/post comparisons are not confounded by pricing changes.
Practices we considered but dropped from the final five
| Practice | Intended objection | Why dropped |
|---|---|---|
| Sharp Smiles Dentistry · St. Marys, GA | "We're already FFS" | Cohort n = 2. PF flagged "a few irregularities we're checking on." Revisit if resolved. |
| Advanced Dental Center of Summerville · SC | "We already have all the patients we need" (capacity + limited funnel) | Cohort n = 1. Show-rate cohort returned 0 members/appointments. Revisit Q1 2027 when 12-mo post-launch data is complete. |
| Cordele Dental Associates · GA | Dormant plan / activation story | Not represented in the workbook at all. Usable as a diagnostic if we ever want to write "fit signals of a dormant practice" — but not as a matched-cohort case study. |
Open items — do not publish without closing
- Bluffton's 71-day hygiene lead time — root cause. Provider turnover? Hygienist shortage? Deliberate throughput cap? Jarod Howlett (ROD) may know. Without this, the counterexample stops at "capacity-constrained" and does not name the specific operational cause.
- Sharp Smiles data irregularities. PF is checking. If resolved, Sharp Smiles could be added as a sixth case study for the "we're already FFS" objection.
- Advanced Dental Center of Summerville — currently unsupported. Revisit Q1 2027.
- Insured cohort net-production-per-visit for each of the five, if we want to claim "members reach insured parity." v2 currently only supports "members outperform uninsured."
- Member same-day-completed lag — sign issue. For Statesboro, Miss Lou Stine, and Stonewall, "avg days plan → completed" for uninsured shows negative values, which PF flagged as a timing/order issue in source. Do not quote those specific numbers. Same-day-completed % is unaffected and is safe to use.
Next steps
- Amy · confirm the objection-to-practice mapping stands (or swap Batten ↔ Towne Lake for Case Study 4).
- Amy · send Jarod Howlett a short note requesting Bluffton context on the 71-day hygiene lead time.
- Once confirmed · package each of the five as a standalone 1-page PDF for Growth Manager use (matching the existing Peach brand template used for v1), plus a combined portfolio PDF for reps who want all five in one file. Deliver a companion
.xlsxwith the raw cross-cohort tables. - Decide on v1 · keep
04_case_study_draft.mdas a portfolio landing piece that points to the five per-practice case studies, or retire. Recommend keep — the "not a discount card" framing still reads well as a landing page.
data/plan-forward/2026-09-25-pf-response/Case study data analysis - SGA - September 2026.xlsx (sheets: cohort analysis, In vs Out Prod, Member vs Treatment Plan, TX Accppresented, Appt Show rate) + SGA case study ideas.docx (PlanForward's synthesis). Numbers were independently reconciled against the raw workbook on 2026-09-26.